主(zhu)題:大(da)唐國際發電股份有限(xian)公司2017年年度業績發布(bu)會
時間:2018年4月(yue)3日
業績介紹
女(nv)士們(men),先生們(men),各位(wei)投資者(zhe)和分析(xi)師朋友們(men),大家上午(wu)好!很榮幸由我代表大唐發(fa)電(dian)向大家回顧(gu)并(bing)(bing)分析(xi)2017年公司經營業績的(de)情況,對(dui)公司2018年所(suo)處的(de)市(shi)場環(huan)境進行(xing)分析(xi),并(bing)(bing)介紹(shao)公司資本運作及發(fa)展戰略的(de)最(zui)新進展。
首先向各位重點(dian)(dian)介紹公司(si)在過去一(yi)年(nian)里取得的主要經營業(ye)績和業(ye)務進展(zhan)情(qing)況(kuang),2017年(nian)公司(si)總體(ti)運(yun)行情(qing)況(kuang)截至到2017年(nian)年(nian)底,公司(si)裝(zhuang)機容量(liang)達到48031兆瓦,同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)2016年(nian)末增長(chang)8.33%,全年(nian)發電(dian)量(liang)累計完成1986.94億(yi)千瓦時(shi),同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)增長(chang)15.2%,公司(si)機組(zu)(zu)平均(jun)(jun)利用小時(shi)全年(nian)累計完成4334小時(shi),同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)提高(gao)8.35%。公司(si)機組(zu)(zu)平均(jun)(jun)上網電(dian)價累計完成364.02元(yuan)每(mei)兆瓦時(shi),同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)降(jiang)(jiang)低(di)1.92%。公司(si)2017年(nian)實(shi)現(xian)營業(ye)收(shou)入646.08億(yi)元(yuan),同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)增長(chang)12.77%,實(shi)現(xian)歸屬于公司(si)股東(dong)凈利潤(run)17.08億(yi)元(yuan),同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)增長(chang)162.02%,每(mei)股盈利實(shi)現(xian)0.13元(yuan),同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)增長(chang)161.9%,資產負債率74.49%,同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)降(jiang)(jiang)低(di)0.31個百分點(dian)(dian)。
下(xia)面對公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)(si)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)業(ye)(ye)務進行簡要的分析,2017年(nian)公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)(si)共計(ji)3695.5兆(zhao)(zhao)瓦(wa)的控(kong)股管理容(rong)(rong)量(liang)(liang)(liang)投入商業(ye)(ye)運營,其中火電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)項(xiang)目(mu)684兆(zhao)(zhao)瓦(wa),水電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)項(xiang)目(mu)2805兆(zhao)(zhao)瓦(wa),風(feng)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)項(xiang)目(mu)126.5兆(zhao)(zhao)瓦(wa),光(guang)伏(fu)(fu)項(xiang)目(mu)80兆(zhao)(zhao)瓦(wa)。公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)(si)管理裝機(ji)(ji)容(rong)(rong)量(liang)(liang)(liang)和(he)(he)權益裝機(ji)(ji)容(rong)(rong)量(liang)(liang)(liang)同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)分別增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)8.33%和(he)(he)6.03%,公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)(si)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)能(neng)(neng)力(li)繼(ji)續(xu)提(ti)升。2017年(nian)公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)(si)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源結(jie)構持續(xu)優化(hua)調整(zheng),清潔能(neng)(neng)源占(zhan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)以(yi)及高(gao)效大容(rong)(rong)量(liang)(liang)(liang)機(ji)(ji)組占(zhan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)進一(yi)步提(ti)升,截至(zhi)2017年(nian)末公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)(si)水電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、燃機(ji)(ji)、風(feng)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)和(he)(he)光(guang)伏(fu)(fu)容(rong)(rong)量(liang)(liang)(liang)占(zhan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)分別為(wei)18.63%,6.02%,4.56%和(he)(he)0.79%,盡管全(quan)國(guo)行業(ye)(ye)平(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)利(li)(li)用小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)基本持平(ping)(ping),但公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)(si)2017年(nian)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)機(ji)(ji)組利(li)(li)用小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)大幅提(ti)升,公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)(si)全(quan)口(kou)徑平(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)利(li)(li)用小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)實(shi)現4334小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi),同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加334小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi),其中火電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)機(ji)(ji)組平(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)利(li)(li)用小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)實(shi)現4655小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi),同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加483小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi),風(feng)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)機(ji)(ji)組平(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)利(li)(li)用小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)實(shi)現2269小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi),同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)197小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi),公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)(si)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)機(ji)(ji)組利(li)(li)用小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)不僅實(shi)現了同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang),而且還明顯高(gao)于行業(ye)(ye)平(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)水平(ping)(ping),公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)(si)全(quan)口(kou)徑利(li)(li)用小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)比(bi)(bi)(bi)行業(ye)(ye)平(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)水平(ping)(ping)高(gao)548小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi),除水電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)略低外,公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)(si)火電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、風(feng)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、光(guang)伏(fu)(fu)利(li)(li)用小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)均(jun)(jun)大幅高(gao)于行業(ye)(ye)平(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)水平(ping)(ping),充分展現了公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)(si)在區域(yu)布局,機(ji)(ji)組容(rong)(rong)量(liang)(liang)(liang),設備(bei)狀況和(he)(he)管理水平(ping)(ping)方(fang)面的優勢(shi)。2017年(nian)受煤價上漲,電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價下(xia)降(jiang)等不利(li)(li)因素影響,公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)(si)火電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)板(ban)塊盈(ying)利(li)(li)下(xia)降(jiang)明顯,從而也促進公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)(si)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)業(ye)(ye)務整(zheng)體盈(ying)利(li)(li)同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)下(xia)降(jiang),但各(ge)業(ye)(ye)務板(ban)塊貢獻均(jun)(jun)為(wei)正值,新能(neng)(neng)源板(ban)塊盈(ying)利(li)(li)明顯提(ti)升。
下(xia)面對公司(si)(si)2017年(nian)的(de)發電成(cheng)本結構和(he)變動(dong)情況(kuang)進行簡要分(fen)析,2017年(nian)公司(si)(si)總(zong)體(ti)成(cheng)本控制也(ye)取得了(le)明(ming)顯成(cheng)效,可控費(fei)(fei)用中(zhong)的(de)各項(xiang)管(guan)理(li)費(fei)(fei)用以及財務費(fei)(fei)用在(zai)總(zong)發電成(cheng)本中(zhong)的(de)占比(bi)(bi)均(jun)同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)降,但是受(shou)2017年(nian)內煤(mei)炭(tan)市場價(jia)格持續(xu)高位運行的(de)影(ying)響(xiang),燃料成(cheng)本同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)出現大(da)幅上漲,2017年(nian)單月燃料成(cheng)本實現185.8元(yuan)每(mei)兆瓦時,同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)2016年(nian)增幅達40%,成(cheng)為影(ying)響(xiang)公司(si)(si)業績的(de)第一因素。2017年(nian)公司(si)(si)持續(xu)大(da)力度開展節能減排(pai)和(he)環保治理(li)工作(zuo),單月供電煤(mei)耗繼(ji)續(xu)下(xia)降,包(bao)括(kuo)二(er)氧化硫,氮氧化物,煙(yan)塵和(he)廢水(shui)在(zai)內的(de)主要污染物排(pai)放(fang)指標同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)也(ye)有顯著下(xia)降。2017年(nian)公司(si)(si)完(wan)成(cheng)7臺機(ji)組超(chao)低(di)排(pai)放(fang)改造(zao)(zao)工作(zuo),在(zai)以火電機(ji)組累計完(wan)成(cheng)超(chao)低(di)排(pai)放(fang)改造(zao)(zao)66臺,容量3038萬千瓦,改造(zao)(zao)完(wan)成(cheng)率達到95.1%。
公司(si)(si)前(qian)期工作有(you)(you)序(xu)推(tui)進,2017年在(zai)公司(si)(si)發展戰略的(de)(de)(de)引(yin)領下(xia),公司(si)(si)在(zai)項目(mu)(mu)前(qian)期工作方面(mian)積極踐行轉方式調結(jie)構(gou)(gou),共計(ji)核(he)準項目(mu)(mu)1102兆(zhao)(zhao)瓦,全部為可再生能源(yuan),其中光伏(fu)項目(mu)(mu)72.2兆(zhao)(zhao)瓦,風電(dian)項目(mu)(mu)1029.8兆(zhao)(zhao)瓦,這(zhe)些項目(mu)(mu)的(de)(de)(de)核(he)準以(yi)及下(xia)一步的(de)(de)(de)建設運營將有(you)(you)利于(yu)提高公司(si)(si)非(fei)水可再生能源(yuan)的(de)(de)(de)容量占比,有(you)(you)利于(yu)公司(si)(si)電(dian)源(yuan)結(jie)構(gou)(gou)的(de)(de)(de)進一步優化。
發(fa)電(dian)企(qi)業2018年(nian)(nian)(nian)所有(you)(you)面(mian)(mian)臨的市場環境(jing)。根據中(zhong)電(dian)聯(lian)發(fa)布的2017-2018年(nian)(nian)(nian)度全國(guo)電(dian)力供需形勢分(fen)析預測報告,2018年(nian)(nian)(nian)綜合考慮宏觀(guan)經濟服務業和居民用(yong)電(dian)發(fa)展趨(qu)勢,大(da)氣污染治理,電(dian)能替(ti)代等各方面(mian)(mian)因(yin)素,預計(ji)2018年(nian)(nian)(nian)電(dian)力消費將延續2017年(nian)(nian)(nian)平穩較快增(zeng)長水(shui)平,在沒(mei)有(you)(you)大(da)范(fan)圍極端(duan)氣溫(wen)影響情(qing)況(kuang)下,預計(ji)2018年(nian)(nian)(nian)全社(she)會用(yong)電(dian)量(liang)增(zeng)長5.5%左(zuo)右(you),2018年(nian)(nian)(nian)預計(ji)全國(guo)全年(nian)(nian)(nian)新(xin)增(zeng)裝(zhuang)(zhuang)機1.2億(yi)千瓦(wa),全國(guo)裝(zhuang)(zhuang)機容量(liang)將達到19億(yi)千瓦(wa),其(qi)中(zhong)非(fei)化石能源發(fa)電(dian)7.6億(yi)千瓦(wa),總(zong)裝(zhuang)(zhuang)機比重(zhong)將上升(sheng)至40%左(zuo)右(you)。2018年(nian)(nian)(nian)預計(ji)全國(guo)電(dian)力供需總(zong)體(ti)寬(kuan)松,部分(fen)地(di)(di)區富(fu)余,局(ju)部地(di)(di)區用(yong)電(dian)高峰時(shi)段電(dian)力供需偏緊,全年(nian)(nian)(nian)發(fa)電(dian)設備利用(yong)小時(shi)3710小時(shi)左(zuo)右(you),與2017年(nian)(nian)(nian)基(ji)本持平。
煤炭(tan)方面,2018年煤炭(tan)需(xu)求(qiu)綜合考慮經濟增速(su),能源結構調(diao)整,環境約束等因素(su),2018年煤炭(tan)需(xu)求(qiu)應該不會(hui)出(chu)現大(da)幅(fu)上(shang)漲,中(zhong)央經濟工作(zuo)會(hui)議(yi)提(ti)出(chu)2018年將(jiang)扎實推進(jin)供給(gei)側結構性改(gai)革,煤炭(tan)去產能目標1.5億噸,國(guo)(guo)家(jia)(jia)發(fa)改(gai)委已正式(shi)發(fa)文(wen)對推進(jin)2018年煤炭(tan)中(zhong)長期合同簽訂履(lv)行工作(zuo)提(ti)出(chu)了明確要求(qiu),國(guo)(guo)家(jia)(jia)發(fa)改(gai)委,國(guo)(guo)家(jia)(jia)能源局聯合發(fa)文(wen),建(jian)立健(jian)全煤炭(tan)最低庫存(cun)和(he)最高庫存(cun)制度,預計年內煤炭(tan)價格(ge)或(huo)將(jiang)穩中(zhong)有(you)降。
電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)持續(xu)改(gai)革(ge)(ge)持續(xu)推(tui)進,2017年(nian)是電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)體制改(gai)變(bian)不斷深(shen)入推(tui)進,持續(xu)擴(kuo)大戰果的(de)(de)一(yi)(yi)(yi)年(nian),一(yi)(yi)(yi)方面國(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)在(zai)(zai)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)體制改(gai)革(ge)(ge)的(de)(de)各個層面都有(you)實質性突破,各地電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)改(gai)步(bu)伐(fa)逐步(bu)展開并持續(xu)推(tui)進。2017年(nian)3月(yue)27日(ri)(ri)國(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)發(fa)(fa)改(gai)委與國(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)能源局聯(lian)合發(fa)(fa)布關(guan)于有(you)序放開發(fa)(fa)用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)計劃的(de)(de)通(tong)知(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)。8月(yue)16日(ri)(ri)國(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)正(zheng)式發(fa)(fa)布關(guan)于全面推(tui)進跨省跨區(qu)(qu)和區(qu)(qu)域電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網(wang)輸(shu)(shu)(shu)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)改(gai)革(ge)(ge)工(gong)作(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)的(de)(de)通(tong)知(zhi)(zhi)(zhi),通(tong)知(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)決定(ding)(ding)在(zai)(zai)省級電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網(wang)輸(shu)(shu)(shu)配電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)改(gai)革(ge)(ge)全覆蓋的(de)(de)基(ji)礎上開展跨省跨區(qu)(qu)輸(shu)(shu)(shu)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)核(he)定(ding)(ding)工(gong)作(zuo)(zuo)(zuo),促進跨省跨區(qu)(qu)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)市(shi)場(chang)交易。8月(yue)28日(ri)(ri),國(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)發(fa)(fa)改(gai)委發(fa)(fa)布關(guan)于開展電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)現貨市(shi)場(chang)建(jian)設試點工(gong)作(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)的(de)(de)通(tong)知(zhi)(zhi)(zhi),通(tong)知(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)明確選擇(ze)南(nan)方以廣東(dong)起步(bu),內蒙、浙江、山(shan)西、山(shan)東(dong)、福(fu)建(jian)、四川(chuan)、甘(gan)肅等8個地區(qu)(qu)作(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)為第(di)一(yi)(yi)(yi)批試點,加(jia)快組織推(tui)進電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)現貨市(shi)場(chang)建(jian)設工(gong)作(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)。年(nian)底國(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)發(fa)(fa)改(gai)委出臺《區(qu)(qu)域電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網(wang)輸(shu)(shu)(shu)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)定(ding)(ding)價(jia)(jia)辦(ban)法》、《跨省跨區(qu)(qu)專項工(gong)程輸(shu)(shu)(shu)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)定(ding)(ding)價(jia)(jia)辦(ban)法》和《關(guan)于制定(ding)(ding)地方電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網(wang)和增量配電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網(wang)配電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)的(de)(de)指導意見》,標志(zhi)著國(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)輸(shu)(shu)(shu)配電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)改(gai)革(ge)(ge)進入到(dao)一(yi)(yi)(yi)個新的(de)(de)階段。2018年(nian)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)體制改(gai)革(ge)(ge)將(jiang)在(zai)(zai)2017年(nian)的(de)(de)基(ji)礎上繼(ji)續(xu)深(shen)入推(tui)進。
下面簡(jian)要介紹一下公(gong)(gong)司(si)資(zi)(zi)本運(yun)作的最(zui)新進展以及發(fa)展愿景。隨著2016年8月(yue)31日煤(mei)化工(gong)重(zhong)組,資(zi)(zi)產交割(ge),對(dui)于大唐發(fa)電(dian)來講標(biao)志著甩掉了(le)大包袱,實(shi)現了(le)輕裝上(shang)(shang)陣,但同時(shi)也對(dui)當期損益造成較大影(ying)響(xiang),并對(dui)分紅(hong)派息產生了(le)影(ying)響(xiang)。2017年煤(mei)化工(gong)重(zhong)組完成后(hou),公(gong)(gong)司(si)聚(ju)焦(jiao)發(fa)電(dian)主業(ye),積極爭搶市場電(dian)量,有效管控(kong)各項經營成本在煤(mei)炭(tan)價格(ge)大幅(fu)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)的嚴(yan)俊(jun)形勢(shi)下,公(gong)(gong)司(si)發(fa)電(dian)主業(ye)盈利(li)能(neng)力得(de)以顯著加強,公(gong)(gong)司(si)盈利(li)水平(ping)明顯優(you)于行業(ye)平(ping)均水平(ping)。另(ling)外為降低煤(mei)化工(gong)重(zhong)組,對(dui)公(gong)(gong)司(si)分紅(hong)派息的影(ying)響(xiang),公(gong)(gong)司(si)積極推進資(zi)(zi)本公(gong)(gong)積彌補虧損,確保(bao)2018年實(shi)現分紅(hong)派息,最(zui)大限(xian)度維護(hu)股東利(li)益。
截至2018年3月,公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)成(cheng)功完成(cheng)了A股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)及H股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)非公(gong)(gong)(gong)開(kai)發(fa)(fa)(fa)行,A股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)增(zeng)發(fa)(fa)(fa)股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)份24億股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu),融資(zi)(zi)額人(ren)民幣83.4億元(yuan),H股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)增(zeng)發(fa)(fa)(fa)股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)份27.9億股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu),融資(zi)(zi)額62.2億港元(yuan),發(fa)(fa)(fa)行前大(da)股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)東持股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)比例34.77%,發(fa)(fa)(fa)行后大(da)股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)東持股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)比例為53.09%,本次發(fa)(fa)(fa)行對于大(da)唐(tang)國際具(ju)有(you)(you)里程碑式的重(zhong)要(yao)意義(yi)。一、募集(ji)資(zi)(zi)金支(zhi)撐公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)業(ye)務發(fa)(fa)(fa)展。二(er)、降低資(zi)(zi)產負債率(lv),改善公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)財務結構。三、大(da)股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)東股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)比提(ti)升,有(you)(you)助于加大(da)對上市公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)支(zhi)持力度。
2018年3月,公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)實(shi)現以人民(min)幣181.28億元(yuan)的(de)代(dai)價收(shou)購大(da)(da)股東在(zai)河北(bei)、安(an)徽(hui)、黑龍江三個省(sheng)總(zong)容量共計13073兆瓦(wa)的(de)電力(li)資(zi)產,實(shi)現了(le)對大(da)(da)唐集(ji)團在(zai)河北(bei)、黑龍江、安(an)徽(hui)省(sheng)份火電資(zi)產的(de)整合,進(jin)一步擴大(da)(da)了(le)公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)裝機規(gui)模,提高(gao)了(le)公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)的(de)市場占有(you)率和影響力(li),進(jin)一步增強了(le)公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)發電核心業務,為公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)未來發展提供(gong)新的(de)增長空間。
面(mian)對新(xin)的(de)形勢和(he)挑(tiao)戰,大唐發電(dian)(dian)的(de)發展(zhan)愿景是以提(ti)高發展(zhan)質(zhi)(zhi)量和(he)效益(yi)為(wei)中心(xin),主(zhu)動適應(ying)經濟發展(zhan)新(xin)常態,資(zi)產(chan)重組新(xin)格局,聚(ju)焦發電(dian)(dian)主(zhu)業,加快推(tui)進結構(gou)調整(zheng),全(quan)面(mian)提(ti)升資(zi)產(chan)質(zhi)(zhi)量競爭能力和(he)整(zheng)體盈利能力,全(quan)面(mian)打造一流能源(yuan)上市公司。
公司業績(ji)情況我就(jiu)簡要介紹到這里,謝謝大家!
問答環節:
提問:第一個問題關于電價,17年煤價是大幅上漲的,但是這次并沒有促進煤電聯動。請問大家對18年執行煤電聯動的預期。再一個,今年兩會的時候國家說要降低一般工商業用戶的用電成本,這樣會不會對2018年的上網電價有壓力?第二個問題是關于核電的,2017年寧德核電在利用小時數,執行定價還有對公司業績的影響?再問一下5號機號6號機現在具體的情況。第三,想問一下大股東這邊注入三個省的資產在18年一季度的盈利情況,想問一下他們的資產質量,還有未來如果交割的話,對公司業績的影響,還有問一下為什么公司支付對價這么高的溢價?謝謝各位領導!
回答:煤電(dian)(dian)聯(lian)(lian)動(dong)政策應(ying)該(gai)說從(cong)去年(nian)下(xia)半年(nian)就開始推動(dong),從(cong)11月份國家(jia)價(jia)格主管部門(men)已經組織(zhi)了(le)幾大發電(dian)(dian)集團來座談(tan)研究(jiu)煤價(jia)聯(lian)(lian)動(dong)的(de)方案,包括(kuo)探(tan)討聯(lian)(lian)動(dong)方案具體的(de)執行。到目前為(wei)止(zhi),發電(dian)(dian)行業仍然在繼續呼吁和推動(dong)這項(xiang)工(gong)(gong)作,到我們走(zou)之前還沒有收到進(jin)一步(bu)確定性的(de)結果。但是(shi)這項(xiang)工(gong)(gong)作國家(jia)主管部門(men)和發電(dian)(dian)行業一直在推進(jin)這項(xiang)工(gong)(gong)作。
寧德(de)核電去年(nian)投資收益7.57個億,利用小時平均7004小時,大(da)約(yue)一二號機(ji)組電價(jia)相對高一些,大(da)約(yue)是(shi)4毛3,三號機(ji)組在(zai)4毛05,四號機(ji)組大(da)約(yue)3毛7分多,比上一年(nian)略有增長,因為去年(nian)整個核電這塊(kuai)表(biao)現(xian)還不(bu)錯,4號機(ji)組從投產開始也(ye)(ye)參(can)與了市場化的(de)(de)交(jiao)易,五六(liu)號機(ji)組在(zai)國家出臺能源化的(de)(de)制造意見里面也(ye)(ye)已經(jing)列進去了,作(zuo)為扎(zha)實(shi)推(tui)進的(de)(de)幾個前期項目其中就包括(kuo)寧德(de)五六(liu)號機(ji)組,我們是(shi)把它列為18年(nian)準備(bei)核準的(de)(de)工(gong)作(zuo),目前工(gong)作(zuo)正在(zai)推(tui)進。
回答:主要資產收(shou)購的(de)(de)(de)事情我做(zuo)一個補充的(de)(de)(de)答復,這次資產收(shou)購剛才應總已經介紹了,它的(de)(de)(de)收(shou)購價(jia)(jia)格大概是(shi)(shi)181.28億,收(shou)購價(jia)(jia)格是(shi)(shi)基于評估的(de)(de)(de)基礎來做(zuo)的(de)(de)(de),這次資產評估相對于收(shou)購的(de)(de)(de)三家公司的(de)(de)(de)資產來說溢(yi)價(jia)(jia)是(shi)(shi)69.46%,這個溢(yi)價(jia)(jia)主要是(shi)(shi)體(ti)現在(zai)收(shou)購的(de)(de)(de)三家公司的(de)(de)(de)土地和房(fang)屋資產的(de)(de)(de)溢(yi)價(jia)(jia),我們(men)做(zuo)了整理,有關的(de)(de)(de)溢(yi)價(jia)(jia)水平其中土地這塊的(de)(de)(de)溢(yi)價(jia)(jia),它的(de)(de)(de)溢(yi)價(jia)(jia)率基本(ben)在(zai)32%到63%期間,而房(fang)屋的(de)(de)(de)溢(yi)價(jia)(jia)水平大概是(shi)(shi)在(zai)21%到45%期間,所以這次資產評估的(de)(de)(de)溢(yi)價(jia)(jia)水平基本(ben)是(shi)(shi)由(you)土地和房(fang)屋的(de)(de)(de)溢(yi)價(jia)(jia)所導致的(de)(de)(de),這是(shi)(shi)有關溢(yi)價(jia)(jia)的(de)(de)(de)水平。
第二,有關收購的價值,收購價值最終是按照評估的價值來確定的,當然收購價值的合理性,公司專門請了第三方的獨立機構對此做出了說明,主要的意見認為收購價格的結果還是恰當合理的。另外,我們也和過往同類可比的資產收購水平評估結果也做了相應的比較,應該還是在合理區間的,有關收購價格的合理性,大家可以參考2017年12月6號還有今年2月23號,在網上公布的有關詳細情況,這是關于收購溢價的情況。
關(guan)于(yu)收購的(de)(de)(de)資產,它的(de)(de)(de)經(jing)營趨勢(shi),我(wo)們在2017年9月份為基礎進行審(shen)計的(de)(de)(de)時候,我(wo)們看(kan)到三(san)(san)(san)家公(gong)司的(de)(de)(de)盈(ying)利狀(zhuang)態(tai)其(qi)中榕(rong)江公(gong)司是(shi)(shi)(shi)盈(ying)利了,安(an)(an)徽和河(he)(he)北公(gong)司都有虧(kui)(kui)損的(de)(de)(de)狀(zhuang)態(tai),截至到2017年底(di)的(de)(de)(de)時候,應該說黑龍江公(gong)司繼(ji)續(xu)保持盈(ying)利水平(ping),安(an)(an)徽和河(he)(he)北公(gong)司盡管是(shi)(shi)(shi)虧(kui)(kui)損,但是(shi)(shi)(shi)虧(kui)(kui)損的(de)(de)(de)幅度(du)有所降低。今年以來我(wo)們也看(kan)到了相關(guan)的(de)(de)(de)數據,就這三(san)(san)(san)家公(gong)司而言發(fa)電(dian)量水平(ping)同比(bi)都是(shi)(shi)(shi)上(shang)升的(de)(de)(de),我(wo)們判斷(duan)這三(san)(san)(san)家公(gong)司的(de)(de)(de)盈(ying)利趨勢(shi)是(shi)(shi)(shi)有望繼(ji)續(xu)好轉。
回答(da):我(wo)(wo)(wo)補充(chong)一下(xia),溢(yi)價率水平(ping)數(shu)值相對比(bi)(bi)較(jiao)大,但是(shi)我(wo)(wo)(wo)們(men)也(ye)與其他發電集團近期的資(zi)本運作(zuo)進行了分析和比(bi)(bi)較(jiao),最(zui)主(zhu)要一點(dian)是(shi)土地,我(wo)(wo)(wo)們(men)收購(gou)這三個區域的資(zi)產都是(shi)老廠(chang),劃(hua)撥地比(bi)(bi)較(jiao)多(duo),它原(yuan)來價值非常低(di)(di),收購(gou)過來以(yi)后,基數(shu)低(di)(di),所以(yi)顯得增值比(bi)(bi)較(jiao)多(duo)。
提問:第一個問題,去年煤價漲得很兇,今年對于二季度煤價的同比或環比是什么判斷,煤價均價到什么位置,從我們公司來看會有一個改善,或者全行業會有一定的虧損。第二個問題是利用小時數,公司今年利用小時數還是有大比例提升,今年提升的原因包括后續對利用小時數的判斷是怎樣的?
回答:預計(ji)從(cong)(cong)2018年(nian)(nian)(nian)煤(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)價的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)走(zou)勢看,從(cong)(cong)煤(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)炭的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)需(xu)(xu)求(qiu)綜(zong)合(he)考慮經濟增速(su),能源結構(gou)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)調整(zheng),環(huan)境約束和散(san)煤(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)治理以及天(tian)氣等等的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)原因(yin),我們基(ji)本(ben)判(pan)(pan)斷是18年(nian)(nian)(nian)全(quan)(quan)國煤(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)炭需(xu)(xu)求(qiu)應該(gai)會有(you)下降(jiang)。在(zai)這種情況下,煤(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)價應該(gai)是處于一個(ge)高(gao)位(wei)波動運行(xing)(xing),或有(you)緩(huan)慢的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)下行(xing)(xing)趨勢。這是對2018年(nian)(nian)(nian)煤(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)炭走(zou)勢的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)基(ji)本(ben)判(pan)(pan)斷。根據預測(ce),2018年(nian)(nian)(nian)全(quan)(quan)社會的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)用(yong)電(dian)(dian)增速(su)是5.5%左(zuo)右(you),比2017年(nian)(nian)(nian)6.6%是有(you)所(suo)放緩(huan),全(quan)(quan)國的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)發電(dian)(dian)裝機(ji)將(jiang)達到(dao)19億(yi)(yi)千(qian)瓦,這其中非(fei)石化(hua)能源發電(dian)(dian)是7.6億(yi)(yi)千(qian)瓦,占裝機(ji)比重(zhong)將(jiang)上升(sheng)到(dao)40%左(zuo)右(you),煤(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)電(dian)(dian)裝機(ji)10.2億(yi)(yi)千(qian)瓦,占全(quan)(quan)國總裝機(ji)比重(zhong)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)53.6%,比17年(nian)(nian)(nian)底降(jiang)低1.5個(ge)百分點。火電(dian)(dian)利用(yong)小(xiao)時(shi)數預測(ce)4210左(zuo)右(you),與2017年(nian)(nian)(nian)是持平(ping)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de),這樣從(cong)(cong)整(zheng)個(ge)煤(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)炭的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)走(zou)勢和趨勢來看,基(ji)本(ben)上應該(gai)還是處于一個(ge)平(ping)衡(heng)狀態,并且隨著需(xu)(xu)求(qiu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)降(jiang)低,煤(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)炭市場要(yao)稍微有(you)所(suo)寬松,這樣對發電(dian)(dian)企(qi)業、對煤(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)(mei)價應該(gai)是一個(ge)相對的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)利好。
回答(da):關于(yu)(yu)電量的(de)(de)(de)(de)情況,去年(nian)公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)一(yi)共完成了(le)(le)1987億度電量,同(tong)比增(zeng)長(chang)15.2%,應(ying)該(gai)說遠遠高于(yu)(yu)全(quan)國的(de)(de)(de)(de)平(ping)(ping)均(jun)增(zeng)速增(zeng)長(chang)。公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)利用(yong)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)完成了(le)(le)4334個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi),高于(yu)(yu)全(quan)國平(ping)(ping)均(jun)548個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi),這(zhe)一(yi)成績(ji)的(de)(de)(de)(de)取(qu)(qu)得與公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)近(jin)年(nian)來聚焦主業,加大(da)市場(chang)營銷工作是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)分不開的(de)(de)(de)(de),幾個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)分項都(dou)明顯(xian)高于(yu)(yu)全(quan)國平(ping)(ping)均(jun)水平(ping)(ping)。我們全(quan)口徑高于(yu)(yu)全(quan)國平(ping)(ping)均(jun)548個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi),火電完成了(le)(le)4655小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi),高于(yu)(yu)全(quan)國平(ping)(ping)均(jun)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)446個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi),水電是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)3512個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi),這(zhe)個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)低于(yu)(yu)全(quan)國平(ping)(ping)均(jun)67個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi),只有(you)水電是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)低的(de)(de)(de)(de),主要(yao)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)因為(wei)四川長(chang)河壩去年(nian)一(yi)年(nian)四投,總共260萬千瓦(wa)的(de)(de)(de)(de)容量,但是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)它(ta)的(de)(de)(de)(de)出(chu)線,外送通道(dao)沒有(you)跟上(shang),受到(dao)一(yi)定阻礙。風電和(he)光伏也都(dou)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)明顯(xian)高于(yu)(yu)全(quan)國平(ping)(ping)均(jun),風電是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)2269個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)超(chao)過全(quan)國平(ping)(ping)均(jun)321個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi),光伏是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)1652小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi),超(chao)過全(quan)國平(ping)(ping)均(jun)648個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi),應(ying)該(gai)說公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)這(zhe)兩年(nian)加大(da)經營管理(li)還(huan)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)取(qu)(qu)得明顯(xian)成效的(de)(de)(de)(de)。我們也大(da)概算了(le)(le)一(yi)下,公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)11個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)區域(yu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)火電利用(yong)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)與當(dang)地(di)的(de)(de)(de)(de)平(ping)(ping)均(jun)數進行比較,超(chao)過所在區域(yu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)綜(zong)合(he)平(ping)(ping)均(jun)數313小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)時(shi)(shi)(shi),這(zhe)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)加強管理(li)取(qu)(qu)得的(de)(de)(de)(de)成果。
進(jin)入到2018年(nian)(nian)(nian),對于(yu)電(dian)(dian)量的(de)(de)基本(ben)形勢判斷,應該(gai)說2018年(nian)(nian)(nian)我們國家中電(dian)(dian)聯做了預(yu)測今年(nian)(nian)(nian)是(shi)(shi)(shi)5.5%的(de)(de)增(zeng)長,公司判斷最終(zhong)實際(ji)數(shu)據(ju)(ju)還要更樂觀一(yi)些,主要的(de)(de)原因(yin)是(shi)(shi)(shi)中電(dian)(dian)聯的(de)(de)預(yu)測偏于(yu)保守,16年(nian)(nian)(nian)它預(yu)測的(de)(de)全(quan)(quan)社(she)(she)會(hui)用(yong)電(dian)(dian)量增(zeng)長是(shi)(shi)(shi)1%到2%,實際(ji)16年(nian)(nian)(nian)全(quan)(quan)社(she)(she)會(hui)用(yong)電(dian)(dian)量的(de)(de)增(zeng)長是(shi)(shi)(shi)5%,17年(nian)(nian)(nian)它年(nian)(nian)(nian)初預(yu)測是(shi)(shi)(shi)3%,實際(ji)到年(nian)(nian)(nian)底是(shi)(shi)(shi)6.6%,進(jin)入18年(nian)(nian)(nian)它預(yu)測到5.5%應該(gai)是(shi)(shi)(shi)提升了,但是(shi)(shi)(shi)實際(ji)上(shang)按照邏輯上(shang)來(lai)講我們覺得還會(hui)比這個(ge)(ge)好一(yi)些,特(te)別在一(yi)二(er)(er)月(yue)(yue)份(fen)(fen),全(quan)(quan)國全(quan)(quan)社(she)(she)會(hui)用(yong)電(dian)(dian)量增(zeng)長是(shi)(shi)(shi)兩位數(shu),應該(gai)是(shi)(shi)(shi)13%左右,盡管今年(nian)(nian)(nian)1月(yue)(yue)份(fen)(fen)有天氣,全(quan)(quan)國降雪降溫比較(jiao)明(ming)顯(xian),都降到南(nan)方了,所(suo)以整個(ge)(ge)全(quan)(quan)國用(yong)電(dian)(dian)需求(qiu)比較(jiao)緊張,有這個(ge)(ge)因(yin)素,但是(shi)(shi)(shi)即(ji)便扣除這個(ge)(ge)因(yin)素影響(xiang),今年(nian)(nian)(nian)一(yi)二(er)(er)月(yue)(yue)份(fen)(fen)的(de)(de)表現明(ming)顯(xian)要好于(yu)年(nian)(nian)(nian)初中電(dian)(dian)聯對這個(ge)(ge)數(shu)據(ju)(ju)的(de)(de)預(yu)判。
另外我們也(ye)看(kan)到(dao)16年(nian)下半年(nian)開(kai)始國(guo)家經濟(ji)增(zeng)長回暖現象(xiang)比(bi)(bi)較(jiao)明顯(xian)(xian),主要是(shi)(shi)(shi)二(er)產業用電量(liang)的(de)(de)(de)(de)增(zeng)速(su)持(chi)續性的(de)(de)(de)(de)增(zeng)長,今年(nian)18年(nian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)裝(zhuang)機一共(gong)是(shi)(shi)(shi)1.2個億,裝(zhuang)機的(de)(de)(de)(de)增(zeng)長相對于6.6%,裝(zhuang)機的(de)(de)(de)(de)增(zeng)速(su)和用電量(liang)增(zeng)速(su)水平基本(ben)(ben)相當,過(guo)去(qu)幾年(nian)都是(shi)(shi)(shi)用裝(zhuang)機增(zeng)速(su)大幅(fu)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia),但是(shi)(shi)(shi)用電量(liang)增(zeng)速(su)明顯(xian)(xian)差幾個點,利(li)用小(xiao)時(shi)逐年(nian)下降,去(qu)年(nian)跟前一年(nian)基本(ben)(ben)持(chi)平,所(suo)以(yi)(yi)在今年(nian)來(lai)(lai)看(kan),裝(zhuang)機水平和用電量(liang)增(zeng)速(su)差不太多。另外新(xin)能(neng)源(yuan)裝(zhuang)機比(bi)(bi)例(li)也(ye)在提(ti)升(sheng),新(xin)能(neng)源(yuan)裝(zhuang)機比(bi)(bi)例(li)它的(de)(de)(de)(de)利(li)用小(xiao)時(shi)數(shu)相比(bi)(bi)火電還是(shi)(shi)(shi)要低的(de)(de)(de)(de),這樣(yang)新(xin)機吃老(lao)機利(li)用小(xiao)時(shi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)情(qing)況會得到(dao)很大的(de)(de)(de)(de)改觀,所(suo)以(yi)(yi)綜合考慮(lv)18年(nian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)利(li)用小(xiao)時(shi)有(you)可(ke)能(neng)會比(bi)(bi)17年(nian)有(you)所(suo)提(ti)升(sheng)。公(gong)司判斷(duan)18年(nian)對于電力市(shi)場(chang)是(shi)(shi)(shi)一個積(ji)極活躍(yue)的(de)(de)(de)(de)市(shi)場(chang)環境,所(suo)以(yi)(yi)說公(gong)司也(ye)將(jiang)以(yi)(yi)更(geng)加(jia)(jia)積(ji)極的(de)(de)(de)(de)態度來(lai)(lai)采取更(geng)加(jia)(jia)有(you)效(xiao)的(de)(de)(de)(de)手段,積(ji)極參與(yu)市(shi)場(chang)化運作(zuo)。在2017年(nian)電量(liang)工作(zuo)取得比(bi)(bi)較(jiao)好(hao)的(de)(de)(de)(de)情(qing)況下爭取2018年(nian)再創新(xin)的(de)(de)(de)(de)佳績(ji)。
提問:第一個問題國家發改委在推進火電去產能,叫停了一些在建的火電項目,不知道公司有沒有火電項目在其中受影響。第二個問題,公司關于可再生能源的政策,隨著配額制的推進,往后公司可再生能源方面的裝機有什么樣的發展規劃,結合這兩個問題18年總的新增裝機火電、可再生能源大概在多少。第三,公司的直購電情況,2017年公司整個直購電電量的交易量以及電量的折扣,2018年有沒有電量和折扣的展望。第四個問題是煤炭的采購量,2017年煤炭采購量里面公司多少是長協煤,市場煤和進口煤,2018年這個量又是怎么分布的?
回答:2017年(nian)(nian)大唐國(guo)(guo)際實際耗用的(de)(de)(de)(de)煤(mei)炭量(liang)(liang)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)6930萬(wan)(wan)噸(dun)(dun)(dun),其中(zhong)長協(xie)煤(mei)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)耗用了(le)2699萬(wan)(wan)噸(dun)(dun)(dun),這個(ge)比重(zhong)(zhong)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)占了(le)整(zheng)個(ge)結構的(de)(de)(de)(de)39.5%,這是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)大唐國(guo)(guo)際的(de)(de)(de)(de)情況。從分類(lei)來說,自(zi)產(chan)煤(mei)供應(ying)的(de)(de)(de)(de)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)563萬(wan)(wan)噸(dun)(dun)(dun),占的(de)(de)(de)(de)比重(zhong)(zhong)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)8.2%,剩下的(de)(de)(de)(de)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)現(xian)貨(huo)國(guo)(guo)內的(de)(de)(de)(de)市場(chang)煤(mei),這個(ge)市場(chang)煤(mei)大致耗用是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)2645萬(wan)(wan)噸(dun)(dun)(dun),占了(le)38.7%,進口煤(mei)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)923萬(wan)(wan)噸(dun)(dun)(dun),占的(de)(de)(de)(de)比重(zhong)(zhong)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)13.5%,這是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)2017年(nian)(nian)我們大唐國(guo)(guo)際整(zheng)個(ge)耗用煤(mei)全部的(de)(de)(de)(de)結構,2018年(nian)(nian)目前(qian)我們簽(qian)訂(ding)(ding)的(de)(de)(de)(de)長協(xie)今年(nian)(nian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)耗量(liang)(liang)應(ying)該是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)有(you)所增加,因(yin)為今年(nian)(nian)還有(you)新的(de)(de)(de)(de)裝機(ji)投產(chan),利用小(xiao)時也有(you)可能會略有(you)增長,耗煤(mei)量(liang)(liang)也可能要突破7000萬(wan)(wan)噸(dun)(dun)(dun)以上,但是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)目前(qian)已經簽(qian)訂(ding)(ding)中(zhong)長協(xie)合(he)同的(de)(de)(de)(de)量(liang)(liang)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)4648萬(wan)(wan)噸(dun)(dun)(dun),這是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)目前(qian)中(zhong)長協(xie)的(de)(de)(de)(de)量(liang)(liang),剩下自(zi)產(chan)煤(mei)量(liang)(liang)估計今年(nian)(nian)也會有(you)小(xiao)幅的(de)(de)(de)(de)提升,剩下就是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)市場(chang)煤(mei)了(le)。
回答:我(wo)(wo)(wo)先(xian)說一(yi)(yi)下可(ke)再(zai)生(sheng)能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)的(de)(de)(de)情況,現在(zai)(zai)公司(si)可(ke)再(zai)生(sheng)能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)的(de)(de)(de)比(bi)重還(huan)(huan)不算太高(gao),國家的(de)(de)(de)要(yao)求到(dao)2020年(nian)(nian),非水(shui)可(ke)再(zai)生(sheng)能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)的(de)(de)(de)比(bi)重要(yao)達到(dao)9%。去(qu)年(nian)(nian)綠(lv)證(zheng)(zheng)交易自(zi)愿(yuan)認購平臺已(yi)(yi)經(jing)初(chu)步(bu)建(jian)(jian)設(she),通過這(zhe)兩年(nian)(nian)碳排放交易試點(dian)工作也(ye)在(zai)(zai)逐步(bu)的(de)(de)(de)展(zhan)開。對(dui)(dui)此(ci),公司(si)結合可(ke)再(zai)生(sheng)能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)這(zhe)方(fang)面我(wo)(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)的(de)(de)(de)差距,也(ye)做了(le)(le)可(ke)再(zai)生(sheng)能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)超(chao)常規發(fa)(fa)(fa)展(zhan)的(de)(de)(de)安排。具體講有三個方(fang)面。第(di)一(yi)(yi),我(wo)(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)還(huan)(huan)是(shi)要(yao)加(jia)(jia)快(kuai)發(fa)(fa)(fa)展(zhan),全力以赴推進(jin)(jin)非水(shui)可(ke)再(zai)生(sheng)能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)的(de)(de)(de)開發(fa)(fa)(fa),力爭(zheng)實現十三五(wu)發(fa)(fa)(fa)展(zhan)規劃目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)標。公司(si)在(zai)(zai)十三五(wu)規劃目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)標當(dang)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)也(ye)專門提到(dao)要(yao)加(jia)(jia)大非水(shui)可(ke)再(zai)生(sheng)能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)發(fa)(fa)(fa)展(zhan)的(de)(de)(de)速度(du)(du)(du),加(jia)(jia)大這(zhe)方(fang)面的(de)(de)(de)力度(du)(du)(du)。規劃中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)我(wo)(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)要(yao)在(zai)(zai)2020年(nian)(nian)突破600萬(wan)千瓦(wa)裝機,其中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)風電(dian)是(shi)511萬(wan)千瓦(wa),光伏(fu)是(shi)118萬(wan)千瓦(wa),基于這(zhe)樣的(de)(de)(de)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)標,公司(si)緊接(jie)著又正在(zai)(zai)編制(zhi)加(jia)(jia)快(kuai)非水(shui)可(ke)再(zai)生(sheng)能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)推進(jin)(jin)的(de)(de)(de)指導意(yi)見,也(ye)明(ming)確(que)了(le)(le)我(wo)(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)各個年(nian)(nian)度(du)(du)(du)、分階段的(de)(de)(de)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)標和(he)重點(dian)工作任務。我(wo)(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)覺得(de)在(zai)(zai)實際推進(jin)(jin)過程當(dang)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong),一(yi)(yi)個是(shi)加(jia)(jia)大力度(du)(du)(du),一(yi)(yi)個是(shi)加(jia)(jia)快(kuai)速度(du)(du)(du)。加(jia)(jia)大力度(du)(du)(du)是(shi)我(wo)(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)要(yao)對(dui)(dui)前期項(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)加(jia)(jia)大開發(fa)(fa)(fa)的(de)(de)(de)力度(du)(du)(du),爭(zheng)取更多的(de)(de)(de)占(zhan)有資源(yuan)(yuan)。加(jia)(jia)快(kuai)速度(du)(du)(du)是(shi)對(dui)(dui)我(wo)(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)已(yi)(yi)經(jing)在(zai)(zai)建(jian)(jian)的(de)(de)(de)項(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)和(he)已(yi)(yi)經(jing)核準(zhun)的(de)(de)(de)項(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)加(jia)(jia)快(kuai)建(jian)(jian)設(she),盡(jin)快(kuai)保證(zheng)(zheng)已(yi)(yi)拿到(dao)手的(de)(de)(de)項(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)盡(jin)快(kuai)落地。今年(nian)(nian)我(wo)(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)看到(dao)所有的(de)(de)(de)核準(zhun)項(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)一(yi)(yi)共14個,全部都(dou)(dou)是(shi)非水(shui)可(ke)再(zai)生(sheng)能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan),110萬(wan)千瓦(wa)的(de)(de)(de)容量,同(tong)時在(zai)(zai)建(jian)(jian)的(de)(de)(de)新(xin)能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)項(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)還(huan)(huan)有85萬(wan)左右,這(zhe)些都(dou)(dou)是(shi)我(wo)(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)當(dang)下近幾年(nian)(nian)來非水(shui)可(ke)再(zai)生(sheng)能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)項(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)的(de)(de)(de)高(gao)峰。所以我(wo)(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)也(ye)是(shi)想(xiang)通過努(nu)力盡(jin)快(kuai)加(jia)(jia)快(kuai)新(xin)能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)建(jian)(jian)設(she),超(chao)額(e)完成十三五(wu)確(que)定的(de)(de)(de)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)標。
第二(er),要調整布(bu)局,在(zai)(zai)原有(you)三北地區,風、光資源(yuan)(yuan)豐(feng)富的(de)(de)(de)地區繼(ji)續開發的(de)(de)(de)基礎上,我(wo)們(men)(men)也(ye)向中(zhong)東部(bu)和(he)南(nan)方區域進行調整,大(da)力開展分(fen)散式(shi)能源(yuan)(yuan),中(zhong)低速(su)以及(ji)海(hai)上風電。國(guo)家的(de)(de)(de)能源(yuan)(yuan)十三五規劃里面(mian),提出了在(zai)(zai)中(zhong)部(bu)和(he)東部(bu)新(xin)增容量達到(dao)4200萬(wan)千(qian)瓦,首(shou)次已經(jing)超過(guo)(guo),在(zai)(zai)十三五期間已經(jing)超過(guo)(guo)三北地區的(de)(de)(de)3500萬(wan)容量,實際上國(guo)家新(xin)能源(yuan)(yuan)特別是(shi)(shi)風電向中(zhong)部(bu)和(he)中(zhong)東部(bu)和(he)南(nan)方轉移(yi)的(de)(de)(de)信號是(shi)(shi)非(fei)常明(ming)顯的(de)(de)(de),在(zai)(zai)這種情況下,我(wo)們(men)(men)覺(jue)得要大(da)力開發低風速(su),分(fen)散式(shi)的(de)(de)(de)包括海(hai)上能源(yuan)(yuan),還是(shi)(shi)要順(shun)應(ying)(ying)國(guo)家政(zheng)策的(de)(de)(de)調整和(he)變化(hua),適當調整我(wo)們(men)(men)的(de)(de)(de)布(bu)局,搶(qiang)占相應(ying)(ying)的(de)(de)(de)資源(yuan)(yuan),現在(zai)(zai)應(ying)(ying)該取得一定(ding)的(de)(de)(de)成果(guo),包括像(xiang)廣(guang)東、福建(jian)一些海(hai)上風電都在(zai)(zai)積極的(de)(de)(de)爭取。
再(zai)(zai)一(yi)個(ge)我(wo)(wo)們(men)重(zhong)視技(ji)術,不(bu)斷(duan)提高(gao)新能源項目開(kai)(kai)發(fa)(fa)的(de)(de)(de)(de)質(zhi)量特(te)別(bie)是(shi)(shi)(shi)風(feng)(feng)(feng)電(dian),擴大(da)風(feng)(feng)(feng)電(dian)發(fa)(fa)展(zhan)(zhan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)空(kong)間,降低(di)(di)風(feng)(feng)(feng)電(dian)發(fa)(fa)展(zhan)(zhan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)運行(xing)成本,這(zhe)方面(mian)主(zhu)(zhu)要(yao)(yao)是(shi)(shi)(shi)新技(ji)術運用(yong)上我(wo)(wo)們(men)要(yao)(yao)加大(da)力(li)度,一(yi)個(ge)是(shi)(shi)(shi)優(you)化風(feng)(feng)(feng)廠設(she)計,一(yi)個(ge)是(shi)(shi)(shi)優(you)化風(feng)(feng)(feng)機(ji)(ji)(ji)的(de)(de)(de)(de)選(xuan)型。風(feng)(feng)(feng)廠設(she)計的(de)(de)(de)(de)水(shui)平(ping)現在(zai)都是(shi)(shi)(shi)越(yue)來越(yue)高(gao),過去設(she)計比較粗礦,現在(zai)測(ce)(ce)風(feng)(feng)(feng),包括優(you)化微(wei)觀選(xuan)址,風(feng)(feng)(feng)廠的(de)(de)(de)(de)優(you)化配置都有很(hen)高(gao)的(de)(de)(de)(de)水(shui)平(ping),所以(yi)我(wo)(wo)們(men)要(yao)(yao)加大(da)這(zhe)方面(mian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)力(li)度,對風(feng)(feng)(feng)廠進行(xing)合理的(de)(de)(de)(de)測(ce)(ce)風(feng)(feng)(feng)和(he)風(feng)(feng)(feng)資源的(de)(de)(de)(de)評估(gu),進行(xing)精細(xi)化的(de)(de)(de)(de)設(she)計。第二是(shi)(shi)(shi)風(feng)(feng)(feng)機(ji)(ji)(ji)這(zhe)幾年發(fa)(fa)展(zhan)(zhan)各大(da)主(zhu)(zhu)流(liu)風(feng)(feng)(feng)機(ji)(ji)(ji)廠他們(men)的(de)(de)(de)(de)技(ji)術相差也(ye)越(yue)來越(yue)大(da),我(wo)(wo)們(men)在(zai)這(zhe)方面(mian)也(ye)是(shi)(shi)(shi)積極(ji)想選(xuan)取一(yi)些技(ji)術好的(de)(de)(de)(de)風(feng)(feng)(feng)機(ji)(ji)(ji),主(zhu)(zhu)要(yao)(yao)是(shi)(shi)(shi)高(gao)塔(ta)筒,大(da)葉片(pian)(pian),智能化,通過風(feng)(feng)(feng)廠的(de)(de)(de)(de)優(you)化設(she)計和(he)風(feng)(feng)(feng)機(ji)(ji)(ji)的(de)(de)(de)(de)選(xuan)型,使我(wo)(wo)們(men)一(yi)些風(feng)(feng)(feng)廠的(de)(de)(de)(de)開(kai)(kai)發(fa)(fa)空(kong)間得(de)以(yi)拓(tuo)展(zhan)(zhan),把原(yuan)來不(bu)可能的(de)(de)(de)(de)變成可能。再(zai)(zai)一(yi)個(ge)是(shi)(shi)(shi)在(zai)運營上,我(wo)(wo)們(men)現在(zai)加大(da)這(zhe)方面(mian)區域化遠程控制(zhi)和(he)集(ji)中管(guan)(guan)理,成片(pian)(pian)分(fen)散的(de)(de)(de)(de)風(feng)(feng)(feng)廠我(wo)(wo)們(men)集(ji)中到相對就近的(de)(de)(de)(de)中小城市(shi),進行(xing)遠程控制(zhi)和(he)集(ji)中管(guan)(guan)理,這(zhe)樣更能有效(xiao)(xiao)的(de)(de)(de)(de)提高(gao)管(guan)(guan)理效(xiao)(xiao)率(lv),降低(di)(di)管(guan)(guan)理成本,通過新技(ji)術新手(shou)段(duan)管(guan)(guan)理上的(de)(de)(de)(de)應(ying)用(yong),我(wo)(wo)們(men)覺得(de)在(zai)風(feng)(feng)(feng)電(dian)開(kai)(kai)發(fa)(fa)上進一(yi)步(bu)降低(di)(di)風(feng)(feng)(feng)電(dian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)成本,拓(tuo)展(zhan)(zhan)風(feng)(feng)(feng)電(dian)開(kai)(kai)發(fa)(fa)的(de)(de)(de)(de)空(kong)間,以(yi)應(ying)對將來平(ping)價上網(wang)我(wo)(wo)們(men)得(de)以(yi)在(zai)市(shi)場(chang)當中得(de)到生存和(he)發(fa)(fa)展(zhan)(zhan),為下一(yi)步(bu)整個(ge)風(feng)(feng)(feng)電(dian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)市(shi)場(chang)奠定基(ji)礎。
關于直購電(dian)(dian)(dian)方面(mian),2017年(nian)(nian)一(yi)(yi)共是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)605億(yi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)市(shi)場交易(yi)電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)(liang),完成去年(nian)(nian)1987億(yi)總電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)(liang)占(zhan)比(bi)(bi)應(ying)該(gai)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)在(zai)30%左右,這(zhe)(zhe)(zhe)里面(mian)總體(ti)(ti)605億(yi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)(liang)標(biao)(biao)桿價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)折扣(kou)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)5分4,比(bi)(bi)上一(yi)(yi)年(nian)(nian)多(duo)降(jiang)(jiang)了5厘,直接(jie)交易(yi)電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)(liang)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)425個(ge)億(yi),這(zhe)(zhe)(zhe)部(bu)分標(biao)(biao)桿價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)降(jiang)(jiang)幅(fu)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)4分4,還(huan)有(you)跨省區(qu)(qu)(qu)電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)(liang)83個(ge)億(yi),這(zhe)(zhe)(zhe)部(bu)分電(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)降(jiang)(jiang)幅(fu)在(zai)0.10元,還(huan)有(you)一(yi)(yi)個(ge)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)權交易(yi),這(zhe)(zhe)(zhe)部(bu)分電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)(liang)一(yi)(yi)共97億(yi),電(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)降(jiang)(jiang)幅(fu)在(zai)1毛錢左右。這(zhe)(zhe)(zhe)605億(yi)總體(ti)(ti)電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)(liang)占(zhan)到(dao)(dao)1987億(yi)總電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)(liang)的(de)(de)(de)(de)30%左右,使整(zheng)體(ti)(ti)電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)(liang)的(de)(de)(de)(de)平(ping)均(jun)電(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)大(da)概降(jiang)(jiang)了2%左右。我(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)覺(jue)得(de)18年(nian)(nian)市(shi)場折扣(kou)電(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)這(zhe)(zhe)(zhe)塊,按照發改委最新的(de)(de)(de)(de)要(yao)求,它說今(jin)(jin)年(nian)(nian)要(yao)提(ti)升(sheng)(sheng)到(dao)(dao)40%左右,實(shi)際上去年(nian)(nian)全(quan)國是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)26%,今(jin)(jin)年(nian)(nian)要(yao)達到(dao)(dao)40%,要(yao)提(ti)升(sheng)(sheng)15個(ge)百(bai)分點(dian),但(dan)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)我(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)覺(jue)得(de)這(zhe)(zhe)(zhe)個(ge)目標(biao)(biao)提(ti)得(de)有(you)些(xie)(xie)高(gao),因為(wei)從我(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)所(suo)(suo)有(you)的(de)(de)(de)(de)火電(dian)(dian)(dian)區(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)拿(na)到(dao)(dao)的(de)(de)(de)(de)這(zhe)(zhe)(zhe)些(xie)(xie)數據(ju)來(lai)看(kan),目前提(ti)升(sheng)(sheng)比(bi)(bi)率應(ying)該(gai)要(yao)比(bi)(bi)這(zhe)(zhe)(zhe)個(ge)低(di),應(ying)該(gai)也(ye)就是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)提(ti)升(sheng)(sheng)10個(ge)點(dian)左右,從國際的(de)(de)(de)(de)資(zi)(zi)產(chan)分布狀況來(lai)看(kan),應(ying)該(gai)說廣東、福(fu)建、云南這(zhe)(zhe)(zhe)些(xie)(xie)區(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)市(shi)場化(hua)程度已經很(hen)高(gao)了,像(xiang)云南基(ji)(ji)本(ben)都百(bai)分之百(bai),再提(ti)升(sheng)(sheng)空間并不(bu)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)很(hen)大(da)了。另外,公司(si)占(zhan)得(de)一(yi)(yi)半資(zi)(zi)產(chan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)京津(jin)唐區(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)市(shi)場電(dian)(dian)(dian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)推進速度來(lai)看(kan),應(ying)該(gai)來(lai)說還(huan)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)滯后的(de)(de)(de)(de),京津(jin)唐這(zhe)(zhe)(zhe)個(ge)區(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)因為(wei)政治(zhi)用電(dian)(dian)(dian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)要(yao)求,去年(nian)(nian)只給了5%,今(jin)(jin)年(nian)(nian)不(bu)會有(you)太多(duo)的(de)(de)(de)(de)放大(da),所(suo)(suo)以我(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)國際可能(neng)在(zai)去年(nian)(nian)30%的(de)(de)(de)(de)基(ji)(ji)礎上有(you)可能(neng)會比(bi)(bi)全(quan)國平(ping)均(jun)提(ti)升(sheng)(sheng)10個(ge)點(dian)還(huan)要(yao)略低(di)一(yi)(yi)點(dian),這(zhe)(zhe)(zhe)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)我(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)基(ji)(ji)本(ben)的(de)(de)(de)(de)分析(xi),可能(neng)達不(bu)到(dao)(dao)10個(ge)點(dian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)水平(ping)。對(dui)于18年(nian)(nian)降(jiang)(jiang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)電(dian)(dian)(dian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)折扣(kou)來(lai)講,如(ru)(ru)果(guo)煤價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)沒有(you)一(yi)(yi)個(ge)大(da)幅(fu)波動的(de)(de)(de)(de)話,我(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)判(pan)斷應(ying)該(gai)降(jiang)(jiang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)的(de)(de)(de)(de)折扣(kou)跟17年(nian)(nian)基(ji)(ji)本(ben)相當,因為(wei)我(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)看(kan)到(dao)(dao)17年(nian)(nian)比(bi)(bi)16年(nian)(nian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)降(jiang)(jiang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)幅(fu)度基(ji)(ji)本(ben)就是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)相當的(de)(de)(de)(de),因為(wei)煤價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)水平(ping)沒有(you)大(da)幅(fu)波動,如(ru)(ru)果(guo)18年(nian)(nian)煤價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)水平(ping)出現(xian)(xian)大(da)幅(fu)波動的(de)(de)(de)(de)話,比(bi)(bi)如(ru)(ru)下降(jiang)(jiang)比(bi)(bi)較(jiao)多(duo)量(liang)(liang)(liang)的(de)(de)(de)(de)話,那可能(neng)我(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)降(jiang)(jiang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)幅(fu)度也(ye)會跟著(zhu)多(duo)降(jiang)(jiang)一(yi)(yi)些(xie)(xie),為(wei)了搶占(zhan)市(shi)場,但(dan)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)我(wo)(wo)們(men)(men)也(ye)會在(zai)保證公司(si)合理(li)盈利空間的(de)(de)(de)(de)基(ji)(ji)礎上降(jiang)(jiang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia),而不(bu)會出現(xian)(xian)大(da)幅(fu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)變化(hua)。
回答:我補充一(yi)(yi)(yi)下,剛才(cai)學軍已(yi)(yi)經(jing)對(dui)非(fei)(fei)水可(ke)再(zai)生能源的(de)(de)(de)(de)發(fa)展(zhan),公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)整體的(de)(de)(de)(de)構(gou)想(xiang)已(yi)(yi)經(jing)說了(le)(le)(le)(le)。我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)近幾年也是(shi)針(zhen)對(dui)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)目(mu)前(qian)存(cun)在的(de)(de)(de)(de)一(yi)(yi)(yi)些問(wen)題,非(fei)(fei)水可(ke)再(zai)生資源占公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)的(de)(de)(de)(de)比例還(huan)是(shi)比較低的(de)(de)(de)(de),公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)這(zhe)兩(liang)年也是(shi)在這(zhe)方(fang)面(mian)加大(da)(da)力度,更主要(yao)是(shi)結(jie)(jie)(jie)合(he)(he)國家的(de)(de)(de)(de)能源政策,國家現(xian)(xian)在對(dui)非(fei)(fei)水可(ke)再(zai)生資源要(yao)求(qiu)非(fei)(fei)常(chang)(chang)高(gao)(gao),特(te)(te)別是(shi)針(zhen)對(dui)環(huan)保(bao),在一(yi)(yi)(yi)些京津(jin)冀地(di)區特(te)(te)別是(shi)一(yi)(yi)(yi)些重點(dian)(dian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)發(fa)達地(di)區環(huan)保(bao)要(yao)求(qiu)非(fei)(fei)常(chang)(chang)高(gao)(gao),所以(yi)(yi)帶(dai)來的(de)(de)(de)(de)逼著(zhu)我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)企業重點(dian)(dian)要(yao)開展(zhan)非(fei)(fei)水可(ke)再(zai)生資源,所以(yi)(yi)我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)采(cai)取的(de)(de)(de)(de)措施,第一(yi)(yi)(yi)從(cong)管理上,我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)在一(yi)(yi)(yi)些重要(yao)的(de)(de)(de)(de)區域(yu),比如(ru)(ru)我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)去年年底在海(hai)(hai)南(nan)(nan)成(cheng)立(li)(li)了(le)(le)(le)(le)我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)的(de)(de)(de)(de)海(hai)(hai)南(nan)(nan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si),海(hai)(hai)南(nan)(nan)島大(da)(da)家都知道,那個(ge)(ge)(ge)地(di)方(fang)對(dui)于環(huan)保(bao)的(de)(de)(de)(de)要(yao)求(qiu)非(fei)(fei)常(chang)(chang)高(gao)(gao),它是(shi)旅游(you)省(sheng)份不缺(que)(que)電(dian)(dian),但是(shi)在那個(ge)(ge)(ge)區域(yu)從(cong)電(dian)(dian)量這(zhe)方(fang)面(mian)調峰(feng)的(de)(de)(de)(de)缺(que)(que)口比較大(da)(da),高(gao)(gao)峰(feng)的(de)(de)(de)(de)時(shi)候還(huan)真缺(que)(que)電(dian)(dian),如(ru)(ru)果我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)想(xiang)在那個(ge)(ge)(ge)地(di)方(fang)搞大(da)(da)型的(de)(de)(de)(de)煤(mei)機不現(xian)(xian)實,第一(yi)(yi)(yi)海(hai)(hai)南(nan)(nan)不會(hui)批(pi),國家也不會(hui)批(pi),同時(shi)我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)作為一(yi)(yi)(yi)個(ge)(ge)(ge)企業搞大(da)(da)型的(de)(de)(de)(de)煤(mei)電(dian)(dian)當地(di)消(xiao)納不了(le)(le)(le)(le),而且(qie)外送困難也很大(da)(da),所以(yi)(yi)我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)采(cai)取加大(da)(da)我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)的(de)(de)(de)(de)光(guang)伏(fu),海(hai)(hai)南(nan)(nan)島的(de)(de)(de)(de)風電(dian)(dian)不讓弄(nong),主要(yao)是(shi)光(guang)伏(fu),我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)結(jie)(jie)(jie)合(he)(he)區的(de)(de)(de)(de)特(te)(te)點(dian)(dian),重點(dian)(dian)搞一(yi)(yi)(yi)些智(zhi)能微網,智(zhi)能小鎮,主要(yao)就(jiu)是(shi)屋(wu)頂(ding)光(guang)伏(fu)配(pei)套,然(ran)后(hou)就(jiu)地(di)消(xiao)納,就(jiu)地(di)消(xiao)納不了(le)(le)(le)(le)的(de)(de)(de)(de)然(ran)后(hou)上網,現(xian)(xian)在我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)重點(dian)(dian)在那開發(fa)這(zhe)些項(xiang)目(mu),而且(qie)進(jin)展(zhan)也非(fei)(fei)常(chang)(chang)快(kuai),成(cheng)立(li)(li)了(le)(le)(le)(le)有(you)半年多,已(yi)(yi)經(jing)有(you)20多個(ge)(ge)(ge)項(xiang)目(mu),近期(qi)有(you)2個(ge)(ge)(ge)項(xiang)目(mu)已(yi)(yi)經(jing)核準,發(fa)展(zhan)會(hui)非(fei)(fei)常(chang)(chang)好。另(ling)外一(yi)(yi)(yi)個(ge)(ge)(ge)在青海(hai)(hai),結(jie)(jie)(jie)合(he)(he)青海(hai)(hai)外送,800直流超高(gao)(gao)壓,還(huan)有(you)400直流外送,我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)結(jie)(jie)(jie)合(he)(he)這(zhe)個(ge)(ge)(ge)在它的(de)(de)(de)(de)沿途上布我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)的(de)(de)(de)(de)光(guang)伏(fu),布我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)的(de)(de)(de)(de)風電(dian)(dian),這(zhe)是(shi)一(yi)(yi)(yi)個(ge)(ge)(ge)思路,現(xian)(xian)在也都積(ji)極往前(qian)推進(jin),我們(men)(men)(men)(men)(men)也成(cheng)立(li)(li)了(le)(le)(le)(le)一(yi)(yi)(yi)個(ge)(ge)(ge)青海(hai)(hai)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si),在原先籌備處(chu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)基礎上成(cheng)立(li)(li)了(le)(le)(le)(le)青海(hai)(hai)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)。
另外(wai),我(wo)們(men)把一些分散(san)的(de)風(feng)電場、光伏電站集中,通過(guo)現(xian)(xian)代(dai)化的(de)技術(shu)遠程操(cao)作,這樣減少我(wo)們(men)的(de)管理成(cheng)(cheng)本。再有一個就(jiu)是技術(shu)改造,這也是下一步(bu)我(wo)們(men)要重點做(zuo)的(de),特別(bie)是風(feng)電,因為我(wo)們(men)國家(jia)現(xian)(xian)在(zai)制造業的(de)水平(ping)發(fa)展非(fei)常(chang)快(kuai),而且(qie)技術(shu)也是突(tu)飛猛進(jin),現(xian)(xian)在(zai)我(wo)們(men)很多風(feng)機(ji)通過(guo)跟我(wo)們(men)的(de)廠家(jia),跟我(wo)們(men)的(de)研究院共同協商(shang),下一步(bu)要對我(wo)們(men)的(de)風(feng)電進(jin)行改造,把漿葉(xie)更換,由長漿葉(xie)換成(cheng)(cheng)短漿葉(xie),漿葉(xie)的(de)形狀發(fa)生變化以后,效益能提高10%,這個數據(ju)是非(fei)常(chang)可觀的(de),現(xian)(xian)在(zai)我(wo)們(men)跟金風(feng)在(zai)合作,準備下一步(bu)開展這項業務(wu)。
再一(yi)(yi)個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)國家發(fa)改委限產(chan)(chan)能(neng)這(zhe)(zhe)塊(kuai)(kuai)對我們的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)影(ying)響,目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)前(qian)(qian)對咱們公(gong)司(si)就(jiu)有(you)(you)(you)兩(liang)(liang)個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)項(xiang)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu),之(zhi)前(qian)(qian)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)4個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)項(xiang)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu),通過我們努(nu)力有(you)(you)(you)2個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)項(xiang)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)已(yi)經從現(xian)成的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)名(ming)單拉出來,剩下兩(liang)(liang)個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)沒(mei)拉出來,其中(zhong)一(yi)(yi)個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)唐(tang)(tang)山(shan)(shan)北郊兩(liang)(liang)臺(tai)35萬,還有(you)(you)(you)雷州(zhou)(zhou)兩(liang)(liang)臺(tai)百萬機(ji)(ji),但這(zhe)(zhe)兩(liang)(liang)個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)項(xiang)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)可以這(zhe)(zhe)么說是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)非常(chang)好的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)項(xiang)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu),唐(tang)(tang)山(shan)(shan)北郊兩(liang)(liang)臺(tai)35萬機(ji)(ji)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)供熱機(ji)(ji)組,直接(jie)牽涉到(dao)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)民生,這(zhe)(zhe)個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)跟(gen)唐(tang)(tang)山(shan)(shan)市政(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)府(fu)(fu)我們也(ye)多次溝通,因為(wei)陡河電廠是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)我們的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)老(lao)企業,它裝機(ji)(ji)都(dou)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)20萬,現(xian)在(zai)(zai)也(ye)處于關停的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)階段,今年(nian)就(jiu)有(you)(you)(you)兩(liang)(liang)臺(tai)要(yao)關停,所以正(zheng)好通過唐(tang)(tang)山(shan)(shan)北郊去替代它的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)一(yi)(yi)部分(fen)工作,所以這(zhe)(zhe)個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)項(xiang)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)非常(chang)好的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)項(xiang)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)。目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)前(qian)(qian)存在(zai)(zai)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)問題,我們國家對煤(mei)電核準的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)標準提升了,要(yao)求高了,跟(gen)之(zhi)前(qian)(qian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)一(yi)(yi)些概念有(you)(you)(you)所變化,之(zhi)前(qian)(qian)唐(tang)(tang)山(shan)(shan)北郊項(xiang)目(mu)(mu)(mu)(mu)去年(nian)年(nian)底應該(gai)就(jiu)要(yao)投(tou)產(chan)(chan)了,但是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)由于審批的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)程序嚴格了,現(xian)在(zai)(zai)就(jiu)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)土(tu)地這(zhe)(zhe)塊(kuai)(kuai),之(zhi)前(qian)(qian)我們都(dou)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)在(zai)(zai)核準之(zhi)后,建設(she)過程當(dang)中(zhong)一(yi)(yi)步(bu)一(yi)(yi)步(bu)跑(pao)土(tu)地,現(xian)在(zai)(zai)土(tu)地證(zheng)沒(mei)有(you)(you)(you)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)不允許建設(she),所以現(xian)在(zai)(zai)我們正(zheng)在(zai)(zai)全(quan)力以赴,包括協(xie)調政(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)府(fu)(fu),政(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)府(fu)(fu)也(ye)在(zai)(zai)幫著我們一(yi)(yi)起共同努(nu)力做土(tu)地證(zheng)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)事。雷州(zhou)(zhou)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)百萬機(ji)(ji)這(zhe)(zhe)個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)符(fu)合(he)國家當(dang)前(qian)(qian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)能(neng)源(yuan)政(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)策,是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)屬于大容量,高參數,低排(pai)放,高效(xiao)率的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)機(ji)(ji)組,現(xian)在(zai)(zai)也(ye)都(dou)在(zai)(zai)積極(ji)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)往前(qian)(qian)推進,今年(nian)都(dou)有(you)(you)(you)望拿(na)到(dao)從現(xian)場的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)名(ming)單里面都(dou)有(you)(you)(you)可能(neng)拿(na)出來。特別是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)雷州(zhou)(zhou)兩(liang)(liang)臺(tai)百萬機(ji)(ji),我們預測投(tou)產(chan)(chan)之(zhi)后它的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)盈(ying)利空間非常(chang)大,因為(wei)那個(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)地方確實外送(song)包括區域對這(zhe)(zhe)兩(liang)(liang)臺(tai)機(ji)(ji)組都(dou)非常(chang)有(you)(you)(you)利。
總結致辭
女士們,先生(sheng)們,剛才應學軍先生(sheng)介紹了2017年(nian)度業績及相(xiang)關情況(kuang),公司管理層就(jiu)市場關注(zhu)的(de)問(wen)題同大家進行(xing)了深入(ru)溝通,下面我簡要介紹公司今年(nian)和(he)今后一段時期發(fa)展思路和(he)工作重點。
當前,中國特色(se)社(she)會(hui)主義(yi)進入(ru)新時代,中國經濟已經由高速轉為高質量(liang)發展階段(duan),電(dian)(dian)力結構優(you)(you)化(hua)和轉型發展,發展的(de)(de)趨勢更加明朗。電(dian)(dian)力行業體(ti)(ti)系更在(zai)向電(dian)(dian)源結構清潔化(hua)電(dian)(dian)力系統智能化(hua),電(dian)(dian)力發展國際化(hua)以及電(dian)(dian)力體(ti)(ti)制(zhi)機(ji)制(zhi)市場化(hua)邁進。未來三(san)年,是公(gong)司在(zai)鞏固全(quan)面提升成果基礎上,進一步做強做優(you)(you)做大的(de)(de)攻堅時期,公(gong)司將通過這一階段(duan)的(de)(de)創新發展和深(shen)化(hua)改(gai)革,產(chan)業結構布(bu)局(ju)持(chi)續(xu)(xu)優(you)(you)化(hua),清潔電(dian)(dian)力得到較(jiao)快發展,資產(chan)質量(liang)明顯提升,整體(ti)(ti)盈利能力可持(chi)續(xu)(xu)發展能力和風險管(guan)控(kong)能力顯著(zhu)增強,為股(gu)東(dong)創造更大價值。
2018年我們將繼續(xu)秉承(cheng)價值思維,效(xiao)益(yi)導(dao)向(xiang)(xiang)的(de)核心理(li)念,堅持(chi)順勢(shi)而為(wei),好(hao)(hao)(hao)中(zhong)求快,著(zhu)(zhu)力(li)(li)抓(zhua)好(hao)(hao)(hao)安(an)全生產(chan)(chan)(chan),確保(bao)安(an)全局面(mian)穩(wen)定可(ke)控(kong),確定各(ge)企業安(an)全經濟(ji)環保(bao)運(yun)行(xing),確保(bao)電力(li)(li)熱力(li)(li)穩(wen)定可(ke)靠(kao)供應,著(zhu)(zhu)力(li)(li)抓(zhua)好(hao)(hao)(hao)市(shi)場(chang)(chang)運(yun)作,深耕(geng)電力(li)(li)市(shi)場(chang)(chang),精耕(geng)電煤(mei)市(shi)場(chang)(chang),開拓熱力(li)(li)市(shi)場(chang)(chang),千方百計創收增效(xiao),確保(bao)業績穩(wen)步(bu)提(ti)升。著(zhu)(zhu)力(li)(li)抓(zhua)好(hao)(hao)(hao)創新發展,加(jia)大科技創新和(he)成(cheng)果轉化力(li)(li)度(du),推進結(jie)構(gou)優化,提(ti)質增效(xiao),加(jia)快培育新的(de)效(xiao)益(yi)增長(chang)點。著(zhu)(zhu)力(li)(li)抓(zhua)好(hao)(hao)(hao)深化改革,持(chi)續(xu)增強公(gong)司(si)管(guan)控(kong)能力(li)(li),有效(xiao)管(guan)控(kong)和(he)規避各(ge)類風險,向(xiang)(xiang)改革要(yao)活力(li)(li)要(yao)績效(xiao)要(yao)競爭力(li)(li)。著(zhu)(zhu)力(li)(li)抓(zhua)好(hao)(hao)(hao)資本運(yun)營,立(li)足公(gong)司(si)內部圍(wei)繞產(chan)(chan)(chan)業上下(xia)游戰略資源,優化資產(chan)(chan)(chan)配置,發揮協同效(xiao)應,提(ti)升資產(chan)(chan)(chan)質量。著(zhu)(zhu)力(li)(li)抓(zhua)好(hao)(hao)(hao)國際合作,搶抓(zhua)機遇順勢(shi)而為(wei),加(jia)快走出去步(bu)伐(fa),積極(ji)培育新的(de)增長(chang)點,以更加(jia)優異的(de)業績回(hui)報股(gu)東,回(hui)饋社會,最后再次對各(ge)位(wei)分析師朋友長(chang)期以來對公(gong)司(si)所給(gei)予(yu)的(de)信任與支持(chi)表示熱烈的(de)感謝(xie),并(bing)向(xiang)(xiang)各(ge)位(wei)致(zhi)以良好(hao)(hao)(hao)的(de)祝愿和(he)誠摯(zhi)的(de)敬(jing)意(yi),謝(xie)謝(xie)各(ge)位(wei)!